Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.747613 2.934942 3.134821 3.365029 3.624202 3.908570 4.246410
2026-01-18 2.497284 2.759471 3.055680 3.419178 3.859058 4.382114 5.063821
2026-01-25 2.540506 2.888780 3.302163 3.839394 4.535736 5.433694 6.727466
2026-02-01 2.314543 2.668983 3.100137 3.677200 4.453057 5.499831 7.100088
2026-02-08 2.123056 2.472991 2.906320 3.499066 4.318402 5.463466 7.299989
2026-02-15 2.016665 2.374196 2.825401 3.457305 4.357889 5.667741 7.890433
2026-02-22 1.911100 2.268624 2.726572 3.380055 4.334793 5.770318 8.327902
2026-03-01 1.803528 2.153990 2.607847 3.264628 4.242431 5.750967 8.545334
2026-03-08 1.696645 2.035006 2.476592 3.122014 4.096004 5.627158 8.547193
2026-03-15 1.648188 1.990978 2.444163 3.117765 4.158080 5.847850 9.242730
2026-03-22 1.599831 1.944536 2.405430 3.100747 4.197141 6.032216 9.906166
2026-03-29 1.554378 1.899858 2.366548 3.080267 4.227623 6.203400 10.582059
2026-04-05 1.511845 1.862297 2.342557 3.091359 4.329098 6.551956 11.861296
2026-04-12 1.482609 1.842372 2.343504 3.142445 4.507048 7.086046 13.870324
2026-04-19 1.540147 1.946718 2.531471 3.506380 5.288921 9.057576 21.633655
2026-04-26 1.463162 1.853945 2.418610 3.366274 5.117019 8.884935 21.993092
2026-05-03 1.387789 1.760853 2.301317 3.211747 4.903567 8.581852 21.693079
2026-05-10 1.346355 1.715768 2.255419 3.175422 4.917791 8.834902 24.007101
2026-05-17 1.300342 1.662208 2.193935 3.108128 4.863149 8.906158 25.596587
2026-05-24 1.249231 1.599472 2.115723 3.007336 4.731569 8.756906 25.983713
2026-05-31 1.195112 1.530826 2.026064 2.882395 4.541562 8.428568 25.223950
2026-06-07 1.171723 1.507155 2.005966 2.878665 4.602280 8.786563 28.799615
2026-06-14 1.147136 1.480839 1.980525 2.863724 4.637740 9.084530 32.542245